Precautionary saving and consumption smoothing nber. The spirit of capitalism, precautionary savings, and. We shall not discuss at length many other facets of intertemporal. Precautionary saving, lifecycle and macroeconomics 1. The current study is based on the premise that while precautionary savings. Sorry, we are unable to provide the full text but you may find it at the following locations. Recall that in the pih, when you abstract from borrowing constraints, certainty equivalence implies that mean preserving spreads of the income distribution do not impact on saving. Consumption puzzles and precautionary savings sciencedirect. This paper shows that precautionary savings can go a long way in making the excessgrowth, excesssmoothness and excesssensitivity features of consumption consistent with the stochastic processes of labor income observed in the u. This paper shows that precautionary savings can go a long way in making the excessgrowth, excesssmoothness and excesssensitivity features of consumption consistent with the stochastic processes. Consumption puzzles and precautionary savings core.
Cubullero, consumption puzzles and precautionary savings 115 consume even when the predisposition to risk does not change with the level of wealth, as is the case with the exponential utility function used in this paper. Although this hypothesis has been tested by a large number of authors, both at macro and micro level, the empirical results are not conclusive, and the main conclusion than can be drawn is that there is neither consensus on the intensity of that motive for saving, nor on the most appropriate measure of uncertainty. Caballero, consumption puzzles and precautionary savings 117 presenting the general framework, it argues that both micro and macro u. Precautionary saving and consumption smoothing across time and possibilities, sciences po publications 3976, sciences po. In this section we study conditions under which savings react to changes in income uncer tainty. When marginal utility is convex, agents accumulate savings as a precautionary measure against laborincome eventualities. This type of saving is called precautionary saving. Increased uncertainty generates a positive extra saving, the socalled precautionary saving.
This paper uses the consumption euler equation to derive a decomposition of. Does precautionary savings drive the real interest rate. This puzzle was recently solved by erik hurst of the university of chicago and mark aguiar. Precautionary saving munich personal repec archive. Ricardo 1990, consumption puzzles and precautionary savings, journal of. The problem of the household is to maximize 1 subject to 2. Estimating the elasticity of intertemporal substitution taking into account the precautionary savings motive, journal of macroeconomics, elsevier, vol. Precautionary savings, lifecycle and macroeconomics. Citations of consumption puzzles and precautionary savings. Consumption puzzles and precautionary savings mit economics. Precautionary saving and consumption fluctuations jstor. Under reasonable assumptions, the marriage between precautionarysavings. The economic importance of precautionary saving rivals that of.
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